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MLS: Fair & Balanced?

18 May 2010 No Comment

MLS LogoWhen the season started, there was a lot of talk about how this season would provide the first ‘balanced’ schedule and the closest we’ll get to a true winner. Champions of the ‘we need to be like Europe’ philosophy jumped all over this opportunity.

For me, I just saw it as another wrinkle in the league growing and establishing itself. After all, it’s not like the league will be taking a break while the best players spend some time in South Africa next month or anything. I’m sure that won’t have much effect on the results of matches played in June and early July or anything.

Then, a funny thing happened while looking at the schedule; I discovered a major problem, as I see it, in the way the schedule is set up to produce a ‘fair’ winner. While every team plays against every other team twice during the season, those matches aren’t spread out the same.  I’d always assumed an effort was made to split the season in 2 and everyone play everyone in each half.  Yeah, I’m pretty naive at times.

The first thing I noticed was that Houston & Dallas (the Texas Derby) had played both their matches by May 5th. The season hadn’t even started and the two matches were already in the books just over a month apart–39 days, March 27th & May 5th. Then I discovered that DC and KC played their two matches against each other on the same dates.

Chivas and Houston just finished their two matches against each other May 8th, only 21 days after they first met on April 17th. NE and SJ finished their series last weekend as well only 28 days apart.

The shortest time between the two matches against the same team is 10 days (RBNY-Toronto August 11th & 21st) with Columbus and Houston 14 days apart (July 10th & 24th).

On the other end of the scale are Columbus & Toronto with their two matches 203 days apart (March 27th & October 16th) about as far as the two matches could be apart. The /SuperduperClassico with those matches 185 days apart (April 1st & October 3)

There are 120 matches up in this season, 31 are more than 120 days (roughly 4 months) apart—though three more are 119 days apart. 32 are less than 60 days (roughly 2 months) apart.

What’s amusing, though, is that the average for all 120 matches is 90 days though the season is 213 days from the “First Kick” (between Philly & Seattle) on March 25th to the “Final Kick” [sic] (Between Dallas & LA) on October 24th. One would think there would be some effort to have more match-ups between 80 & 100 days apart but there are only 22 or 18%. Between 70 & 110 days we still only have 37 matches or 30% of the total matches this season.

What does it mean? Who knows? I guess it depends on when teams meet the other teams. It may be nothing or, it could be a big deal. If RBNY does sign Thierry Henry, will they get better? If Donovan is transferred will they not be as good? What if you have to play a team twice while they are hot but other teams get to play them only once during their streak?

Bottom line, the league is still just set up to weed out teams in order to form the playoffs.    The will still be a nice thing but it still won’t provide the best possible champion without someone being able to knock the winner.

So, how did your team do?

TeamShortest gapvsLongest gapvsAverage gap
Chicago27Seattle182DC102.1
Chivas21Houston185LA98.3
Colorado24Philly165LA89.1
Columbus14Houston203Toronto103.8
DC35Seattle182Chicago96
Dallas39Houston157LA97.8
Houston14Columbus175Houston76.7
KC39DC175Seattle85.6
LA30SJ185Chivas91.1
NE28Philly147Colorado92.1
RBNY10Toronto168Philly83.9
Philly24Colorado168RBNY94.7
RSL28Colorado152Seattle77.8
SJ28NE179Chivas92.9
Seattle27Chicago175KC94.9
Toronto10RBNY203Columbus85.1

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